Fact-Check Summary
The social media post presents two primary claims: first, that former President Trump’s approval rating is high and trending upward, specifically referencing a figure from Rasmussen Reports; second, congratulations to Dan Scavino and Erin Elmore on their engagement. Available evidence from multiple polling organizations, including Rasmussen, indicates that Trump’s approval rating is in the 40s, not at the suggested elevated numbers, with most polls showing more disapproval than approval. The engagement of Dan Scavino and Erin Elmore is confirmed by reliable sources.
Belief Alignment Analysis
The post distorts data on presidential approval to create a misleadingly optimistic narrative, which undermines truthful, reasoned discourse foundational to democracy. The congratulatory note is factual and promotes civility. However, the exaggeration of approval ratings in the political context detracts from public accountability and truthful engagement by presenting an unsubstantiated, partisan perspective.
Opinion
Exaggerating approval polling, particularly on highly visible platforms, risks spreading misinformation and deepening divisions. Civic responsibility demands accuracy and respect for evidence, especially in representations of national sentiment. While celebratory notes about personal milestones are welcome, factual accuracy should apply to all information shared in the public sphere.
TLDR
The post contains misinformation about Trump’s approval ratings but correctly references the Scavino-Elmore engagement. Rely on multiple credible sources for polling figures; always fact-check numbers shared on partisan or social media platforms.
Claim: Trump’s overnight approval rating is at historic highs per Rasmussen Reports; Dan Scavino and Erin Elmore are engaged.
Fact: Trump’s approval rating, per Rasmussen and other major pollsters, is in the 40-48% range and not at the claimed very high level. Dan Scavino and Erin Elmore’s engagement is confirmed.
Opinion: Sharing inflated, unsupported polling figures misleads the public and undermines informed discourse; factual, personal celebrations strengthen civic connection.
TruthScore: 4
True: The engagement announcement for Dan Scavino and Erin Elmore.
Hyperbole: Claims that Trump’s approval is at a historic high, or unusually high per Rasmussen, unsupported by available data.
Lies: The implication or explicit claim that Trump’s approval rating is much higher than 48% or that it is trending sharply upward according to respected polling data.